We find that interest rate variance risk premium (IRVRP) - the difference between implied and realized variances of interest rates - is a strong predictor of U.S. Treasury bond returns of maturities ranging between one and ten years for return horizons up to six months. IRVRP is not subsumed by...

We study the relation between bond characteristics and corporate bond returns in China's two distinct and segmented bond markets-the interbank market and the exchange market-with a large cross-sectional dataset of 8318 corporate bonds from January 2010 to December 2022. Corporate bonds with...