We use a subsample bootstrap method to get a consistent estimate of the asymptotically optimal choice of the samplefraction, in the sense of minimal mean squared error, which is needed for tail index estimation. Unlike previous methodsour procedure is fully self contained. In particular, the...

Combined forecasts from a linear and a nonlinear model areinvestigated for timeseries with possibly nonlinear characteristics. The forecasts arecombined by aconstant coefficient regression method as well as a time varyingmethod. Thetime varying method allows for a locally (non)linear model....