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Theoretical and empirical studies of consumer scheduling behavior in commuting, and the associated valuation of time and schedule delays usually ignore that consumers have more exibility to adjust their schedule in the longer run than in the shorter run, implying that also these valuations may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117239
A common way to determine values of travel time and schedule delay is to estimate departure time choice models, using stated preference (SP) or revealed preference (RP) data. The latter are used less frequently, mainly because of the di fficulties to collect the data required for the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014041912
variancefunctions. In a genuine out-of-sample forecasting experiment theperformance of the best fitted asMA-asQGARCH model is compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324389
Combined forecasts from a linear and a nonlinear model areinvestigated for timeseries with possibly nonlinear characteristics. The forecasts arecombined by aconstant coefficient regression method as well as a time varyingmethod. Thetime varying method allows for a locally (non)linear model....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324396
Pure time series-based tests fail to find empirical support formonetary exchange rate models. In this paper we apply pooled timeseries estimation on a forward-looking monetary model, resulting inparameter estimates which are in compliance with the underlyingtheory. Based on a panel version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324410
In this paper, we make use of state space models to investigate the presence of stochastic trends in economic time series. A model is specified where such a trend can enter either in the autoregressive representation or in a separate state equation. Tests based on the former are analogous to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324436
In this paper we introduce the STAR-STGARCH model that can characterizenonlinear behaviour both in the conditional mean and the conditionalvariance. A modelling cycle for this family of models, consisting ofspecification, estimation, and evaluation stages is constructed.Misspecification tests...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324484
We advocate the use of absolute moment ratio statistics in conjunctionwith standard variance ratio statistics in order to disentangle lineardependence, non-linear dependence, and leptokurtosis in financial timeseries. Both statistics are computed for multiple return horizonssimultaneously, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324540
This paper suggests a unified framework for testing the adequacy of anestimated GARCH model. Nothing more complicated than standard asymptotictheory is required. Parametric tests of no ARCH in standardized errors,symmetry, and parameter constancy are suggested. Estimating the alternativewhen the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324595
A major problem in applying neural networks is specifying the sizeof the network. Even for moderately sized networks the number ofparameters may become large compared to the number of data. In thispaper network performance is examined while reducing the size of thenetwork through the use of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324603