Showing 1 - 10 of 72
variancefunctions. In a genuine out-of-sample forecasting experiment theperformance of the best fitted asMA-asQGARCH model is compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324389
This paper discusses a number of issues that will become increasingly important nowthat the concept of marginal external cost pricing becomes more likely to be implementedas a policy strategy in transport in reality. The first part of the paper deals with thelong-run efficiency of marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324401
Tests for structural stability with unknown breakpoint are derived for and applied tothe efficient method of moments. Three types of tests are discerned: Wald type tests,Predictive tests and Hansen type tests. The Hansen type test for structural stabilitywith unknown breakpoint is a novelty for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324422
Exchange rates typically exhibit time-varying patterns in both means andvariances. The histograms of such series indicate heavy tails. In thispaper we construct models which enable a decision-maker to analyze theimplications of such time series patterns for currency risk management.Our approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324426
In this paper we compare the predictive abilility of Stochastic Volatility (SV)models to that of volatility forecasts implied by option prices. We develop anSV model with implied volatility as an exogeneous var able in the varianceequation which facilitates the use of statistical tests for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324427
This paper studies the second-best problem where not all links of acongested transportation network can be tolled. The second-best taxrule for this problem is derived for general static networks, so thatthe solution presented is valid for any graph of the network, and forany set of tolling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324478
For several decades growth of traffic volumes has outstrippedinvestments inroad infrastructure. The result has been a relentless increase intrafficcongestion. This paper reviews the economic principles behindcongestionpricing in static and dynamic settings, which derive from thebenefits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324500
We advocate the use of absolute moment ratio statistics in conjunctionwith standard variance ratio statistics in order to disentangle lineardependence, non-linear dependence, and leptokurtosis in financial timeseries. Both statistics are computed for multiple return horizonssimultaneously, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324540
Econometric estimation using simulation techniques, such as the efficient method of moments, may betime consuming. The use of ordinary matrix programming languages such as Gauss, Matlab, Ox or S-plus will very often cause extra delay. For the Efficient Method of Moments implemented to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324542
This paper considers the second-best problem where not all links of a congested transportation networkcan be tolled. The paper builds on earlier work, in which the second-best tax rule for this problem wasderived for general static networks, so that the solution presented is valid for any graph...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324547