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Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve optimization problems and these solutions in turn determine actual price realizations. Experimental testing of such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326375
estimation of the parameters in an auxiliary model. The learning scheme employed by the agents belongs to the class of stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139606
This experiment compares the price dynamics and bubble formation in an asset market with a price adjustment rule in three treatments where subjects (1) submit a price forecast only, (2) choose quantity to buy/sell and (3) perform both tasks. We find deviation of the market price from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403565
The recent macroeconomic literature stresses the importance of managing heterogeneous expectations in the formulation of monetary policy. We use a stylized macro model of Howitt (1992) to investigate inflation dynamics under alternative interest rate rules when agents have heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325843
We propose behavioral learning equilibria as a plausible explanation of coordination of individual expectations and … the economy. The simplicity of behavioral learning equilibria makes coordination of individual expectations on such an … aggregate outcome more likely. In a first application, an asset pricing model with AR(1) dividends, a unique behavioral learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326517
consider a simple real business cycle model with noisy learning by doing. The solution has a stationary distribution that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325959
consider a simple real business cycle model with noisy learning by doing. The solution has a stationary distribution that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138817
We study a model of collective decision making with endogenous information collection.Agents collect information about the consequences of a project, communicate, and then vote onthe project. We examine under what conditions communication may increase the probability thatgood decisions are made....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324900
We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325323
We study two aspects of globalization. It allows a decision-maker to go beyond his own local experience and to learn from other decision-makers in addressing common problems. This improves the identification and diffusion of best practices. It also provides extra information to `markets' that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325869