Showing 1 - 10 of 192
We introduce conditional score residuals and provide a general framework for the diagnostic analysis of time series models. A key feature of conditional score residuals is that they account for the shape of the conditional distribution. These residuals offer reliable and powerful diagnostic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797256
The purpose of the paper is to present the fundamental equation in tourism finance that connects tourism research to empirical finance and financial econometrics. The energy industry, which includes, oil, gas and bio-energy fuels, together with the tourism industry, are two of the most important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011403586
We characterize the dynamic properties of Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) processes by identifying regions of the parameter space that imply stationarity and ergodicity. We show how these regions are affected by the choice of parameterization and scaling, which are key features of GAS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326396
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models … price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326493
Novel periodic extensions of dynamic long memory regression models with autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic errors are considered for the analysis of daily electricity spot prices. The parameters of the model with mean and variance specifications are estimated simultaneously by the method...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325542
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers … the stochastic volatility model with asymmetry and long memory, using high frequency data for the underlying asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662515
, there has been almost no research on China’s carbon price and volatility. This paper provides an introduction to China …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819516
generally, to observation-driven models, which include well-known models for conditional volatility. To overcome the problem of … Monte Carlo study and an empirical study concerning the measurement of conditional volatility from financial returns data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819528
The purpose of the paper is to establish national carbon emissions prices for the People’s Republic of China, which is one of the world’s largest producers of carbon emissions. Several measures have been undertaken to address climate change in China, including the establishment of a carbon...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819543
vary according to whether they are in low or high volatility regimes. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526115