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expectations. We provide ample anecdotal, historical, and heuristic information on the goodness-of-fit of the various exchange rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325398
Poland edged towards hyperinflation towards the latter half of 1989,but inflation fell dramatically after drastic reformswere enacted in January of 1990. We analyse the consistency betweenfiscal deficits and inflation targets and assessPoland's domestic and foreign debt management policies and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324428
Biased longevity expectations will lead to suboptimal decisions regarding saving, retirement, annuitization and health …, with consequences for wellbeing in old age. Systematic differences in the accuracy of longevity expectations may partly … veracity of expectations are due to the less educated and cognitively able responding less to changes in objective mortality …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288406
nothing) or the highest level of punishment (destroyeverything). (4) Expectations have a significant effect on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324423
We investigate expectation formation in a controlled experimental en-vironment. Subjects are asked to predict the price in a standard asset pricingmodel. They do not have knowledge of the underlying market equilibrium equa-tions, but they know all past realized prices and their own predictions....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324831
investment and investment in energy saving technologies,using subjective evaluations of expectations and uncertainty of Dutch …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324949
from individual expectations. Subjects have no information about underlying market equilibrium equations, but can learn by … stable treatment, rational expectations (RE) yield a good description of observed aggregate price fluctuations: prices remain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325029
-report measures were related to destruction decisions and expectations. The pattern of emotional arousal and its correlation with self …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325363
whether therelated expectations and realizations match each other. We use theDutch Social Economic Panel survey data, where … expectations aboutthe next year's financial situation are reported. We show that realizedchanges exceed expectations, and that this … distribution of expectations andrealizations, suggest that individuals around retirement are overly pes-simistic and attach more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325606
The way in which individual expectations shape aggregate macroeconomic variables is crucial for the transmission and … effectiveness of monetary policy. We study the individual expectations formation process and the interaction with monetary policy … heterogeneous expectations model with a performance-based evolutionary selection among heterogeneous forecasting heuristics to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326142