Showing 1 - 10 of 371
We propose a novel statistic to test the rank of a matrix. The rank statistic overcomes deficiencies of existing rank statistics, like: a Kronecker covariance matrix for the canonical correlation rank statistic of Anderson [Annals of Mathematical Statistics (1951), 22, 327–351] sensitivity to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324817
We show that the Anderson-Rubin (AR) statistic is the sum of two independent piv-otal statistics. One statistic is a score statistic that tests location and the other statistictests misspecification. The chi-squared distribution of the location statistic has a degreesof freedom parameter that is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324890
multivariate density forecasts, based on the Kullback-Leibler Information Criterion (KLIC). The test is valid under general …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325942
of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the left tail in financial risk management. By … construction, existing scoring rules based on weighted likelihood or censored normal likelihood favor density forecasts with more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326053
forecasts, focusing on a specific part of the joint distribution. The test is framed in the context of the Kullback …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326216
an easily implemented test based on a regression that only involves (long-horizon and short-horizon) forecasts and no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326495
This paper studies what happens when we move from a short regression to a long regression (or vice versa), when the long regression is shorter than the data-generation process. In the special case where the long regression equals the data-generation process, the least-squares estimators have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288416
We investigate the asymptotic behavior of the WALS estimator, a model-averaging estimator with attractive finite-sample and computational properties. WALS is closely related to the normal location model, and hence much of the paper concerns the asymptotic behavior of the estimator of the unknown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013356478
We present a simple new methodology to allow for time variation in volatilities using a recursive updating scheme similar to the familiar RiskMetrics approach. We update parameters using the score of the forecasting distribution rather than squared lagged observations. This allows the parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010491323
A simple methodology is presented for modeling time variation in volatilities and other higher order moments using a recursive updating scheme similar to the familiar RiskMetrics approach. We update parameters using the score of the forecasting distribution. This allows the parameter dynamics to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013033118