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In the past decades several features of U.S. unemployment dynamics have been investigated empirically. The original … focus of research was on the duration of unemployment. In later studies the cyclicality of incidence and duration …, compositional effects and duration dependence of the exit rate out of unemployment have been investigated. Unlike the partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324727
of the endogenous state variables unemployment change and population change and of the exogenous input variables change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326440
of the endogenous state variables unemployment change and population change and of the exogenous input variables change …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114293
a higher private savings ratio during recessions: a Ricardian offset effect, the presence of credit constraints, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326386
When the financial positions of pension funds worsen, regulations prescribe that pension funds reduce the gap between their assets (invested contributions) and their liabilities (accumulated pension promises). This paper quantifies the business cycle effects and distributional implications of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932324
The dynamic factor Markov-switching (DFMS) model introduced by Diebold and Rudebusch (1996) has proven to be a powerful framework to measure the business cycle. We extend the DFMS model by allowing for time-varying transition probabilities, with the aim of accelerating the real-time dating of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012427157
This paper first documents the increase in the time lag with which labor input reacts to output fluctuations (the labor adjustment lag) that is visible in US data since the mid-1980s. We show that a lagged labor adjustment response is optimal in a setting where there is uncertainty about the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325949
This paper studies the relationship between the change in the unemployment rate and output growth using an approach …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012114749
The COVID-19 crisis may have widely and permanently altered the labor market through the demand for skills. Crises tend to accelerate technological change. Previous recent crises were characterized by an acceleration of automation, which generally led to a decrease in middle-income jobs with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581195
-Mortensen-Pissarides model, followed by recalibration, does not change aggregate dynamics of unemployment and vacancies. This invariance result …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606000