Showing 1 - 10 of 270
We assess the stability of the unemployment gap parameter using linear dynamic Phillips curve models for the United … States. In this study, we allow the unemployment gap parameter to be time-varying such that we can monitor the importance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797257
We analyse the determinants of unemployment persistence in four OECDcountries byestimating a structural Bayesian VAR … with an informative priorbased on an insiders/outsiders model. We explicitly insert unemployment ben-efits and labour taxes … so that our identification is not affected by the Faust andLeeper (1997) critique. We find widespread hysteresis: demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324805
A Bayesian model averaging procedure is presented that makes use of a finite mixture of many model structures within the class of vector autoregressive (VAR) processes. It is applied to two empirical issues. First, stability of the Great Ratios in U.S. macro-economic time series is investigated,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325721
) processes. The linear VAR model is extendedto permit cointegration, a range of deterministic processes, equilibrium restrictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326026
The empirical support for features of a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model with two technology shocks is valuated using Bayesian model averaging over vector autoregressions. The model features include equilibria, restrictions on long-run responses, a structural break of unknown date...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326330
cointegration model, of pairs of stock prices. We show the effect that using an encompassing prior under an orthogonal normalization …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377207
A Bayesian model averaging procedure is presented that makes use of a finite mixture of many model structures within the class of vector autoregressive (VAR) processes. It is applied to two empirical issues. First, stability of the Great Ratios in U.S. macro-economic time series is investigated,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012720260
In this paper we consider the Fractional Vector Error Correction model proposed in Avarucci (2007), which is characterized by a richer lag structure than models proposed in Granger (1986) and Johansen (2008, 2009). We discuss the identification issues of the model of Avarucci (2007), following...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014146014
We investigate experimentally the economic effects of wage taxation to finance unemployment benefits for a closed … the dynamic interaction between the wage tax and unemployment. (ii) Employment is boosted by budget deficits but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324476
In the past decades several features of U.S. unemployment dynamics have been investigated empirically. The original … focus of research was on the duration of unemployment. In later studies the cyclicality of incidence and duration …, compositional effects and duration dependence of the exit rate out of unemployment have been investigated. Unlike the partial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324727