Showing 1 - 10 of 191
underwriters and issuing firms in the Japanese corporate bond market, stochastic life table forecasting: a time-simultaneous fan …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326266
wholesale power markets have only recently been deregulated. We introduce the weather factor into well-known forecasting models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325407
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325904
under the Basel Accord: A Bayesian approach to forecasting value-at-risk of VIX futures, fast clustering of GARCH processes … dynamics of BRICS's country risk ratings and domestic stock markets, U.S. stock market and oil price, forecasting value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326135
construction methods, we find that this procedure leads to better interpretable factors and to a favorable forecasting performance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326490
The daily average price of electricity represents the price of electricity to be delivered over the full next day and serves as a key reference price in the electricity market. It is an aggregate that equals the average of hourly prices for delivery during each of the 24 individual hours. This...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326529
provide a theoretical justification of the use of random subspace methods and show their usefulness when forecasting monthly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586688
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers … that the new method based on stochastic volatility models with the asymmetry and long memory outperforms the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662515
forecasting occur much less frequently than indicated by existing tests. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662537
surface types. We finally show that our proposed model can also be effective in forecasting. We provide evidence that our … model significantly outperforms existing models in the forecasting of tennis match results. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819524