Showing 1 - 10 of 137
Gauss' 1809 discussion of least squares, which can be viewed as the beginning of mathematical statistics, is reviewed. The general consensus seems to be that Gauss' arguments are at fault, but we show that his reasoning is in fact correct, given his self-imposed restrictions, and persuasive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012797261
We propose a new class of observation driven time series models referred to as Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. The driving mechanism of the GAS model is the scaled score of the likelihood function. This approach provides a unified and consistent framework for introducing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012722680
-generation process, the least-squares estimators have smaller bias (in fact zero bias) but larger variances in the long regression than … in the short regression. But if the long regression is also misspecified, the bias may not be smaller. We provide bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011288416
This paper compares the behaviour of a bias-corrected estimator assuming strongly exogenous regressors to the behaviour … of a bias-corrected estimator assuming weakly exogenous regressors, when in fact the marginal model contains a feedback … mechanism. To this end, the effects of a feedback mechanism on the first-order least-squares coefficient estimation bias is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324780
The relative magnitudes are compared of successive terms in a higher-order asymptotic expansion of the bias of the LSDV … estimator in dynamic panels. We find that the leading term accounts for the major part of the actual bias in small samples. This … implies that bias correction procedures can be based on relatively simple bias approximation formulas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324812
of bias of (generalized) MMestimators tends to increase with the number of moment conditions exploited. Forvarious … feedbacks none of the techniques examined dominates. However, asimple bias corrected LS estimator which presupposes strict …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325057
BEKK. The results of non-parametric tests suggest evidence of considerable bias in the Full BEKK estimates. The results of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011819462
TSMod is an interactive program which allows the user to estimate a broad range of univariate models. This review describes the possibilities of the package, from a user's perspective and with a secondary focus on the numerical accuracy of the program.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324861
Estimation of the volatility of time series has taken off since the introduction of the GARCH and stochastic volatility models. While variants of the GARCH model are applied in scores of articles, use of the stochastic volatility model is less widespread. In this article it is argued that one...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128944
We characterize the dynamic properties of Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) processes by identifying regions of the parameter space that imply stationarity and ergodicity. We show how these regions are affected by the choice of parameterization and scaling, which are key features of GAS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013065930