Showing 1 - 10 of 175
We study a model of collective decision making with endogenous information collection.Agents collect information about the consequences of a project, communicate, and then vote onthe project. We examine under what conditions communication may increase the probability thatgood decisions are made....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324900
We develop a theoretical framework for studying the effects of interaction on the quaJity of decision-making by monetary policy committees. We show that interaction, i.e. increasing one's expertise through an exchange of views, is most likely not to result in interdependent voting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325323
We study two aspects of globalization. It allows a decision-maker to go beyond his own local experience and to learn from other decision-makers in addressing common problems. This improves the identification and diffusion of best practices. It also provides extra information to `markets' that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325869
Rational Expectations (RE) models have two crucial dimensions: 1) agents correctly forecast future prices given all available information, and 2) given expectations, agents solve optimization problems and these solutions in turn determine actual price realizations. Experimental testing of such...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326375
successfully but nevertheless lost public support, and vice versa. We show that learning dynamics can rationalize this apparent … identity (reform winner or loser?) more pessimistic about their chances of benefiting from the reform. Consequently, learning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326523
This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of … JMG's ideas of self-fulfilling mistakes. Some of our learning-to-forecast laboratory experiments with human subjects have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662516
estimation of the parameters in an auxiliary model. The learning scheme employed by the agents belongs to the class of stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139606
The novelty of our model is to combine models of collective action on networks with models of social learning. Agents …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061677
an incentive to reduce emissions: such a change of direction facilitates their learning process on the causes of global … would also ease learning, that option is shown to be inferior because emitting greenhouse gases is irreversible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014166482
The Commonwealth of Virginia abolished parole and reformed sentencing for all felony of-fenders committed on or after January 1, 1995. We examine the impact of this legislationon reported crime rates using different time series approaches. In particular, structuraltime series models are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324958