Showing 1 - 10 of 33
to time series and financial econometrics, including forecasting co-volatilities via factor models with asymmetry and … factors, endogeneity and nonlinearity, sign-based portmanteau test for ARCH-type models with heavy-tailed innovations, toward …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257486
This short paper is a comment on ``Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series'' by Catherine Kyrtsou and Apostolos Serletis. We summarize their main results and discuss some of their conclusions concerning the role of outliers and noisy chaos. In particular, we include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005144529
This short paper is a comment on ``Testing for Nonlinear Structure and Chaos in Economic Time Series'' by Catherine Kyrtsou and Apostolos Serletis. We summarize their main results and discuss some of their conclusions concerning the role of outliers and noisy chaos. In particular, we include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255740
econometrics to nonlinearity tests for empirical data series, in particular the so-called BDS (Brock, Dechert, Scheinkman) test. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257476
econometrics to nonlinearity tests for empirical data series, in particular the so-called <I>BDS</I> (Brock, Dechert, Scheinkman …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137268
In this paper we present an exact maximum likelihood treatment for the estimation of a Stochastic Volatility in Mean (SVM) model based on Monte Carlo simulation methods. The SVM model incorporates the unobserved volatility as an explanatory variable in the mean equation. The same extension is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281817
daily squared returns and intradaily squared returns for forecasting horizons ranging from 1 to 10 days. For the daily …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005281987
We propose a new approach to deal with structural breaks in time series models. The key contribution is an alternative dynamic stochastic specification for the model parameters which describes potential breaks. After a break new parameter values are generated from a so-called baseline prior...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008838634
explores various specifications of decompositions and various forecasting experiments. The result from these horse-races is … for richer forecasting specifications, the paper shows, using Bayesian model averaging techniques (BMA), that the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005016264
returns and intradaily squared returns for forecasting horizons rangingfrom 1 to 10 days. For the daily squared returns we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255461