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-up that they do, or at least that defaults and credit spreads tend to co-move with macro-economic variables. If true, this is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255530
We extend the Hidden Markov Model for defaults of Crowder, Davis, and Giampieri (2005) to include covariates. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255628
Recent models for credit risk management make use of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). The HMMs are used to forecast quantiles of corporate default rates. Little research has been done on the quality of such forecasts if the underlying HMM is potentially mis-specified. In this paper, we focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011255911
We extend the Hidden Markov Model for defaults of Crowder, Davis, and Giampieri (2005) to include covariates. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136908
Recent models for credit risk management make use of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs). The HMMs are used to forecast quantiles of corporate default rates. Little research has been done on the quality of such forecasts if the underlying HMM is potentially mis-specified. In this paper, we focus on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005136969
do, or at least that defaults and credit spreads tend to co-move with macro-economic variables. If true, this is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005137144
agreement). Yet defaults did happen, even in the case of musharakah (joint venture) sukuk discussed in this study. So is Islamic … finance failing to deliver on its promises? To answer that question, we analyse four major defaults on Sukuk that have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256906