The US shale gas revolution has caused a substantial decline of US dependency on natural gas imports and has led to a significant decrease of spot prices for natural gas at Henry Hub. Given that the recent LNG development has been largely oriented towards the US market, this was the major reason...

Herein we more accurately capture the cointegrating relationship between natural gas and crude oil prices by controlling for nonstationarity induced by endogenous changes in regime. Specifically, we allow the cointegrating equation to switch between m states, according to a first-order Markov...

The role of unconventional resources (e.g., oil sands and extra-heavy oil) is anticipated to increase in the global oil market. Although we are facing a scarcity of conventional (low cost) oil resources, unconventional oil resources might manage (for a period of time) to supply constraints in...

Peak oil demand has become the hot new topic for oil market analysts but as always, runs the risk of being subject to superficial analysis, just as peak oil supply was. The primary arguments come from climate change activists who believe fossil fuel consumption must drop sharply and from...

The US energy strategy that would change the outlook worldwide is that for replacing crude oil with other liquids fuels to run automotive engines. Other strategies wander off into exotics requiring subsidies to produce heat or electricity not diesel, heating oil or gasoline. There is no...

Following the peak in US crude oil production 30 years ago, more and more non-OPEC producers have seen their production decline as a result of resource depletion. OPEC on the other hand has extracted a comparatively smaller proportion of its reserve base. Given that new non-OPEC discoveries are...