Using a multi-sector equilibrium model of the Saudi energy system that handles administered prices in a mixed-complementarity formulation, we present results from a set of policy scenarios where end consumer prices are not altered. Some of these scenarios are the solutions to Mathematical...

This paper describes the KAPSARC energy model, which we developed to take an integrated view of the energy issues faced by Saudi Arabia. These issues result from growing internal energy demand that is cutting into the country's ability to export oil, constrained supplies of natural gas that...

Modeling and forecasting crude oil price volatility is crucial in many financial and investment applications. The main purpose of this paper is to review and assess the current state of oil market volatility knowledge. It highlights the properties and characteristics of the oil price volatility...

The uncertainty surrounding the economic growth rate has a social cost, usually determined as the loss of welfare that a representative agent is willing to incur to get rid of fluctuations in his consumption. Though this cost may be negligible in certain economies, this may not be the case for...