With the global economy heading towards a severe oil crunch probably by 2015 or thereabouts, an analysis of Saudi oil fundamentals is causing the world disquiet and worry bordering on panic. Oil-importing nations have long treated Saudi Arabia as an infinitely deep well of crude oil supplies....

Saudi Arabia has been instrumental in the collapse of the crude oil prices by refusing to cut production and also prevailing on OPEC not to do so. This has so far inflicted incalculable damage on the global economy. Saudi Arabia has taken a huge gamble by flooding the global oil market with...

Saudi Arabia expects to double its natural gas production within the next decade. This increased domestic supply is expected to meet the demand for gas from Saudi Arabia's industrial development and, most importantly, to displace liquid fuels in its electricity sector. Given the strong seasonal...

Using a multi-sector equilibrium model of the Saudi energy system that handles administered prices in a mixed-complementarity formulation, we present results from a set of policy scenarios where end consumer prices are not altered. Some of these scenarios are the solutions to Mathematical...

This paper describes the KAPSARC energy model, which we developed to take an integrated view of the energy issues faced by Saudi Arabia. These issues result from growing internal energy demand that is cutting into the country's ability to export oil, constrained supplies of natural gas that...

OPEC+ has set a goal of establishing a stable oil market and achieving a reasonable oil price that benefits all industry stakeholders and the global citizenry. But what price is reasonable? We examine the effect of the oil-price threshold on external balances with the aim of evaluating a...

Saudi Arabia is in a dilemma over the oil price. It could not go back to its failed oil strategy of flooding the global oil market. Nor could it manage to persuade other OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers to agree further deeper cuts because they will refuse. Furthermore, Saudi Arabia does not want...

The flame of oil is not eternal. The horizon carries all signs of peak oil. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest crude oil producer and exporter risks becoming an oil importer probably by 2025 if current economic, demographic and security trends continue into the future. Saudi oil production...

The uncertainty surrounding the economic growth rate has a social cost, usually determined as the loss of welfare that a representative agent is willing to incur to get rid of fluctuations in his consumption. Though this cost may be negligible in certain economies, this may not be the case for...