The role of unconventional resources (e.g., oil sands and extra-heavy oil) is anticipated to increase in the global oil market. Although we are facing a scarcity of conventional (low cost) oil resources, unconventional oil resources might manage (for a period of time) to supply constraints in...

If the creditworthiness of a counterparty is a derivative of a commodity price, there is the potential to have right- or wrong-way exposures in commodity transaction. Identifying them is important, because otherwise credit costs are inadequately calculated. This is especially important if one...

The flame of oil is not eternal. The horizon carries all signs of peak oil. Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest crude oil producer and exporter risks becoming an oil importer probably by 2025 if current economic, demographic and security trends continue into the future. Saudi oil production...

The US energy strategy that would change the outlook worldwide is that for replacing crude oil with other liquids fuels to run automotive engines. Other strategies wander off into exotics requiring subsidies to produce heat or electricity not diesel, heating oil or gasoline. There is no...

This paper uses a new empirical strategy to identify oil supply news shocks within a Non-Causal VAR model of standard global oil market variables. These shocks explain most of the movements in oil production over a long but finite time horizon. Our findings highlight the prominent role of...

The EU imposed an embargo on Iranian oil on 23 January, 2012 that will come into full force in July, preventing the members from importing Iranian oil. The embargo was enforced by the UN, EU, USA and other countries in the wake of Western pressure policies. This multiplies sanctions imposed on...

We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian Continental Shelf (NCS). A unique and detailed dataset containing data from 109 different fields on the NCS between 1970 and 2015 was employed. A set of 1080 autoregressive distributed...

Iran is an energy-rich country and one of the world's main oil-exporters, but its own rapid energy consumption in recent years has raised concerns about the ability of the country to continue exporting oil in the future. Economic growth, massive energy subsidies, and mismanagement of the energy...

Resolving the resource adequacy problem has been usually entrusted to the imposition of some kind of long-term capacity requirements or to forward markets. The Operating Reserve Demand Curve (ORDC), which is linked to short-term market conditions and does not require central planning, has been...

Research on electricity futures markets has to date not explored the role that market liquidity may play in determining risk premia. Further, no detailed empirical examination of both liquidity and risk premia in the New Zealand electricity futures market are discernible. Using data from October...