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securities, N, can be large relative to the time dimension, T, of the return series. The test is based on Student t tests of … the S&P 500 at the end of each month in real time, using rolling windows of size 60. Statistically significant evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959777
. We develop a multi-country version of the Lucas tree model with time-varying volatility and show that in addition to … for by the real common factor, which is proportional to world growth in our empirical model and linked to the risk …-free rate. Second, the share of volatility forecast error variance explained by the real common factor and by country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012927877
that this relationship has been unstable when considered over the longer time period of 1946-2016. In contrast, we find a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012987082
This paper studies the long-run impact of public debt expansion on economic growth and investigates whether the debt-growth relation varies with the level of indebtedness. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop tests for threshold effects in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013019818
This paper investigates the global macroeconomic consequences of country-specific oil-supply shocks. Our contribution is both theoretical and empirical. On the theoretical side, we develop a model for the global oil market and integrate this within a compact quarterly model of the global economy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013022390
world real GDP per capita by 7.22 percent by 2100. On the other hand, abiding by the Paris Agreement, thereby limiting the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865725
in line with the paper's key theoretical findings even for panels with moderate time dimensions and irrespective of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012849871