This paper introduces bond market order flow as a predictor variable in term structuremodels and provides evidence that order flow has forecasting ability over and above thatof forward rates. Both in-sample and out-of-sample forecasts show that models includ-ing interdealer order flow outperform...

This paper investigates the process of price discovery in government bond markets.By using a new data set including interdealer trades, customer trades, trade types anddealer identities, the paper explores the role of dealers in the price formation processand seeks to identify their sources of...

This paper introduces a framework that directly quanti…es information spillovers be-tween …nancial markets. Information spillovers occur when market speci…c information,de…ned as information that directly affects the return or volatility in one market only,indirectly affects returns or...

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