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We propose a general robust semiparametric bootstrap method to estimate conditional predictive distributions of GARCH-type models. Our approach is based on a robust estimator for the parameters in GARCH-type models and a robustified resampling method for standardized GARCH residuals, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453980
This paper analyzes a recent ballot in which two virtually identical popular initiatives, both demanding a decrease in the legal age of retirement in Switzerland, led to differences in approval rates of nearly seven percentage points. Based on this unique natural experiment, the existence of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005797694
-skilled workers. The stylized facts are that profits are concentrated among the high-skilled, involuntary unemployment is mostly among … the low-skilled, and private unemployment insurance is missing. This paper analyzes the effectiveness of redistribution … results are: (i) Social insurance props up wages, leading to more outsourcing and unskilled unemployment. (ii) Redistribution …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005200694
We evaluate a randomized experiment of a statistical support system developed to assist caseworkers in Swiss employment offices in choosing appropriate active labour market programmes for their unemployed clients. This statistical support system predicted the labour market outcome for each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005797702
In many countries, caseworkers in a public employment office have the dual roles of counselling and monitoring unemployed persons. These roles often conflict with each other leading to important caseworker heterogeneity: Some consider providing services to their clients and satisfying their...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005453971
and sort individuals into three labour market regimes; employment, unemployment with and unemployment without … consistent with the assumptions of the structural model and suggest human capital depreciation for unemployment without programme …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005696744