A new housing choice forecasting model is developed here to answer a practical question: how to forecast housing demand at a disaggregate level. Being different from the previous housing choice models, this model is derived from housing sub-market structure based on a random utility approach....

This paper gives a definition of urban owner-occupier housing sub-market structure. A dynamic stock flow approach is applied to this structure to understand its short-term equilibrium properties and long-term dynamic process. The paper concludes by investigating the connections between urban...

It has been demonstrated that the real estate market disciplines irrational price premiums. However, the persistence of price premiums begs the question of what causes price premiums in the first place. This paper seeks to examine two explanations for price premiums—the conventional...

In this paper, a dynamic stock flow model is modified and applied to the Singapore private housing market. Two empirical models are then constructed, which offer an explanation for the dynamic patterns of both real private housing prices and new housing construction. In the long run, movements...