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An uncertainty approach to modelling climate change risk in South Africa

Cullis, James; Alton, Theresa; Arndt, Channing; … - 2015

This study represents the first attempt at an integrated approach to assessing the potential impacts of climate change on the national economy of South Africa via a number of (but not necessarily all) impact channels. The study focuses on outcomes by about 2050. The results show the multiple...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011418655

Environmental and climate finance in a new world: How past environmental aid allocation impacts future climate aid

Marcoux, Christopher; Parks, Bradley C.; Peratsakis, … - 2013

In this paper we update previous work that categorizes foreign aid projects in terms of their likely impact on the natural environment. We then document trends in the global distribution of environmental aid over time and show that environmental aid has increasingly focussed on global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333707

Implications of climate change for Ghana's economy

Arndt, Channing; Asante, Felix; Thurlow, James - 2014

Long-run economic development in Ghana is potentially vulnerable to anthropogenic climate change given the country's dependence on rainfed agriculture, hydropower, and unpaved rural roads. We use a computable general equilibrium model, informed by detailed sector studies, to estimate the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343212

Leveraging global climate finance for sustainable forests: Opportunities and conditions for successful foreign aid to the forestry sector

Pascual, Unai; Garmendia, Eneko; Phelps, Jacob; Ojea, Elena - 2013

Forest loss and degradation remains a leading environmental problem. The long history of sustainable forest management has often failed to meet expectations - constrained by funding, governance, capacity and competing interests. Initiatives from the climate change policy arena are opening new...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319788

Is the clean development mechanism effective for emission reductions?

Huang, Yongfu; He, Jingjing; Tarp, Finn - 2012

This research studies whether the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol achieves its objective of … emission reductions in the host countries. It empirically investigates the impacts of CDM projects on CO2 emission reductions … for 60 CDM host countries over 2005-10. This research makes use of the newly-developed econometric methods for dynamic …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319825

Is the clean development mechanism promoting sustainable development?

Huang, Yongfu; He, Jingjing; Tarp, Finn - 2012

One of the dual objectives of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) of the Kyoto Protocol is to promote sustainable … development in the host countries. With different CDM indicators for 58 CDM host countries over 2005-10, this paper empirically … assesses whether CDM project development fulfils this objective of sustainable development. Using a unique dynamic panel data …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319841

Assessing the risk of cyclone-induced storm surge and sea level rise in Mozambique

Neumann, James E.; Emanuel, Kerry A.; Ravela, Sai; … - 2013

This article considers the impact of sea level rise and storm surge on the port cities of Maputo and Beira in Mozambique. By combining a range of sea level rise scenarios for 2050 with the potential maximum storm surge level for the current 100-year storm, we analyze permanently inundated lands...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319865

A stochastic simulation approach to estimating the economic impacts of climate change in Bangladesh

Thurlow, James; Dorosh, Paul; Yu, Winston - 2011

Climate change assessments often inadequately address uncertainty when estimating damages. Using a dynamic economy-wide model of Bangladesh, we estimate and decompose damages from historical climate variability and future anthropogenic climate change. Our stochastic simulation approach avoids...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319876

Climate variability and agricultural productivity in MENA region

Drine, Imed - 2011

The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is particularly vulnerable to climate change. The severity of climate-change impacts is related to the geographic and ecological particularity of the region. The majority of countries in the MENA region belong to the hydraulic poor regions located...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319901

Climate uncertainty and economic development: Evaluating the case of Mozambique to 2050

Arndt, Channing; Thurlow, James - 2013

We apply a probabilistic approach to the evaluation of climate change impacts in the Zambeze River Valley. The economic modeling relies on an economywide modeling approach. Taking a distribution of shocks as inputs, we create hybrid frequency distributions of the potential economic impacts of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319944

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