negotiation situations. We report the results of a laboratory experiment that was designed to isolate the effect of the curse of …

of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the … their central tendencies. As is standard in survey measures, the subjects in our experiment must report their best guess of … the experiment are based on a percentile while almost 60% are based on a numerical value. …

laboratory experiment in which the participants act as forecasters and are asked to predict the next realisation of iid random …