In der Märzausgabe 2024 veröffentlichte der Wirtschaftsdienst einen Aufsatz mit dem Titel "Inflationsberechnung: Zinspolitik der EZB wird als Inflationstreiber statistisch nicht erfasst" von Johannes Schwanitz. Manuel Rupprecht vertritt in einer Replik eine andere Auffassung. Im Anschluss...

After ten consecutive increases in the prime rate by the European Central Bank's (ECB), the question arises: What significance do these measures have, both indirectly for the interest rates increased at all value-added levels on the corporate side, and for households? While the prices for rents,...

Seit 2022 sind Inflation und Zinsniveau in Deutschland merklich erhöht. Wir arbeiten mittels einer Szenarienrechnung die Auswirkung der höheren Preise und Zinsen auf die Finanzierungssalden der Kommunen in Nordrhein-Westfalen heraus und berücksichtigen dabei systematische Unterschiede...

The slight slowdown of consumer price inflation in Germany in November does not yet constitute the beginning of lower inflation rates. Even though energy prices are dragging inflation, producer prices have drastically increased in the past year. Our estimates indicate that inflation rates will...

Whereas strong demand is a key factor driving high inflation in the US, inflation in the Euro Area is mainly due to adverse external supply shocks (in Europe, energy prices are much higher due to the war in Ukraine). Standard monetary policy response to such shocks is to accommodate first-round...

The COVID-19 pandemic massively interrupted economic activity all over the world. Governments responded by running huge fiscal deficits (financed via central banks) to support firms and consumers, thereby injecting purchasing power into the private sector on a large scale. With no corresponding...

The sharp revisions in inflation forecasts are not rooted in analytical flaws, overly hesitant ECB policies or model failures. Energy price shocks of historic dimensions are the key factor. They have ended the prolonged phase of excessively weak inflation with risks now clearly increasing. In...