Innerhalb einer Währungsunion ist eine souveräne nationale Geldpolitik nicht möglich. Solange die einzelnen Länder sich in verschiedenen ökonomischen Situationen befi nden, wirkt sich auch die gemeinsame Geldpolitik unterschiedlich aus. Sind die Länder zu heterogen, kann die gemeinsame...

Die Niedrigzinspolitik der EZB hat in vielen Ländern des Euroraums zu einem starken Anstieg der Wohnimmobilienpreise beigetragen. In einigen Mitgliedstaaten mündeten diese Übertreibungen am Wohnimmobilienmarkt bereits in Finanz- und Schuldenkrisen. Der Harmonisierte Verbraucherpreisindex...

It seems clear that the ECB will raise interest rates in July 2022 and end its asset purchase program. This should send a strong and important signal to markets and economic players that the ECB continues to take its mandate for price stability seriously. However, it cannot be said with absolute...

Inflation rates in the euro area have reached historic highs due in large part to high energy prices. As the euro area is a net importer of energy, one refers to this inflation as imported inflation. There is a danger that these high inflation rates will become entrenched in inflation...

Whereas strong demand is a key factor driving high inflation in the US, inflation in the Euro Area is mainly due to adverse external supply shocks (in Europe, energy prices are much higher due to the war in Ukraine). Standard monetary policy response to such shocks is to accommodate first-round...

The sharp revisions in inflation forecasts are not rooted in analytical flaws, overly hesitant ECB policies or model failures. Energy price shocks of historic dimensions are the key factor. They have ended the prolonged phase of excessively weak inflation with risks now clearly increasing. In...

Monetary policy currently has only limited room for manoeuvre to fight inflation. Structural supply problems, war and past omissions are having an impact. Inflation is hitting those hardest who cannot pass on the price increase. There is no evidence of a wage-price spiral in Germany at present....