Showing 1 - 10 of 13
This paper reviews the theoretical literature at the intersection of macroeconomics and finance to draw lessons on the connection between vulnerabilities in the financial system and the macroeconomy, and on how monetary policy affects that connection. This literature finds that financial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888656
In this paper, we construct a quality-adjusted rent index for the office market in Oslo. Commonly used rent indices are based on average developments or expert opinions. Such indices often suffer from compositional biases or low data coverage. Using detailed data from more than 16,000 rental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661556
Since the nineties, crises have punctuated financial markets, shattering the conventional wisdom about how these markets work and how to regulate them, and forcing a deep rethinking of the supervisory framework that, however, did not change much of the banks' behavior and incentives. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014474498
We identify the effects of monetary policy on credit risk-taking using a unique dataset covering the population of corporate borrowers in Norway. We find that a lower benchmark interest rate (interbank rates or overnight rates) induces the average bank to grant more loans to risky firms. We also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143883
This paper analyzes the cost-benefit trade-off of leaning against the wind (LAW) in monetary policy. Our starting point is a New Keynesian Markov-switching model where the economy can be in a normal state or in a crisis state. The set-up enables us to weigh benefits against costs for different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143887
This paper compares the forecasting performance of linear and nonlinear models under the presence of structural breaks … probabilities of recessions are used to analyze the Brazilian business cycle. The ability of each model in forecasting out …-of-sample the growth rates of GDP is examined. The forecasting ability of the two models is also compared with linear specifications …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397390
In the existing literature, conditional forecasts in the vector autoregressive (VAR) framework have not been commonly presented with probability distributions or error bands. This paper develops Bayesian methods for computing such distributions or bands. It broadens the class of conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397440
If multivariate dynamic models are to be used to guide decision-making, it is important that it be possible to provide probability assessments of their results. Bayesian VAR models in the existing literature have not commonly (in fact, not at all as far as we know) been presented with error...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397465
. In this paper, we examine how the treatment of prior uncertainty about parameter values can affect forecasting accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397583
stochastic structure. This paper discusses in detail the speciation of a vector error correction forecasting model that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360642