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Results of general equilibrium models are sensitive to model parameterization and specification. The role of macroeconomic closures and the effect of trade elasticities are documented in the literature, but there is no systematic analysis of the implications of different labor supply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232857
the 2018-2021 period. The analysis focuses on the divergences in out-of-unemployment transitions and medium … detachment, prolonged periods of unemployment or a diminished success rate in reemployment. However, certain socio …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014534535
The evolution of Spanish unemployment has been quite idiosyncratic. The full-employment levels of the early seventies … were followed by unemployment rates that were the highest within the OECD countries in the aftermath of the oil price … shocks. While unemployment was extremely persistent in most of the eighties and nineties, it experienced its sharpest decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003765970
causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main … determinants of the unemployment rise in the 1970s and early 1980s were wage-push factors, the two oil price shocks and the … increase in interest rates, and (ii) the acceleration in capital accumulation was the crucial driving force of unemployment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003799513
unemployment rates are studied. Applying a range of unit-root tests to monthly data from Australia, Austria, Canada, Finland …, Sweden, the U.K. and the U.S., we find results for employment rates that contrast those based on unemployment rates. In … particular, rather than the mixed evidence for hysteresis found using unemployment rates, employment rates result in unequivocal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321556
The informational value of the aggregate US unemployment rate has recently been questioned because of a unit root in … the labor-force participation rate; the lack of mean reversion implies that long-run changes in unemployment rates are … highly unlikely to reflect long-run changes in joblessness. This paper shows that this critique also extends to unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321459
causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main … determinants of the unemployment rise in the 1970s and early 1980s were wage-push factors, the two oil price shocks and the … increase in interest rates, and (ii) the acceleration in capital accumulation was the crucial driving force of unemployment in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280778
The evolution of Spanish unemployment has been quite idiosyncratic. The full-employment levels of the early seventies … were followed by unemployment rates that were the highest within the OECD countries in the aftermath of the oil price … shocks. While unemployment was extremely persistent in most of the eighties and nineties, it experienced its sharpest decline …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280789
fundamental role in shaping unemployment movements. This role has generally been examined by considering indirect transmission … single-equation unemployment rate models. Here we advocate a different approach. We directly estimate the effects of capital … stock in the labour market by applying the chain reaction theory of unemployment, and we find that capital stock is a major …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284193
unemployment that is in line with this empirical regularity and the findings for the other emerging markets and regional peers. We … European debt crisis. When investigating whether various expenditure components of GDP may cause different unemployment … improve forecasting of unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011981843