Showing 1 - 4 of 4
Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280768
This paper revisits a number of data-rich prediction methods, like factor models, Bayesian ridge regression and forecast combinations, which are widely used in macroeconomic forecasting, and compares these with a lesser known alternative method: partial least squares regression. Under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284202
Testing serial dependence is central to much of time series econometrics. A number of tests that have been developed and used to explore the dependence properties of various processes. This paper builds on recent work on nonparametric tests of independence. We consider a fact that characterises...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284152
This paper considers the problem of statistical inference in linear regression models whose stochastic regressors and errors may exhibit long-range dependence. A time-domain sieve-type generalized least squares (GLS) procedure is proposed based on an autoregressive approximation to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284208