Showing 1 - 10 of 97
' incentives to create jobs, increases unemployment, and lowers GDP. To quantify the effects of this novel channel, we extend the … counterfactual exercises. We find that the adverse effects of our mechanism on the economy's TFP, GDP, and unemployment are sizable. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655882
chain reactions, and provides new evidence on the long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff in the US. It is argued that … inflation/unemployment responses to money growth shocks. SVAR (structural vector autoregression) and GMM (generalised method of … and real sides of the economy are symbiotic. In the light of the significant and robust long-run inflation-unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280760
application of mandatory lockdowns contributed to a sharp fall in production and a rise in unemployment, inducing an expansionary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551686
This paper explores the evolution and determinants of public support for the euro since its creation in 1999 until the end of 2017, thereby covering the pre-crisis experience of the euro, the crisis years and the recent recovery. Using uniquely large macro and micro databases and applying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208809
We argue that long-run inflation has nonlinear and state-dependent effects on unemployment, output, and welfare. Using … anticipated inflation and unemployment. Second, there is also a positive correlation between anticipated inflation and … unemployment volatility. Third, the long-run inflation-unemployment relationship is not only positive, but also stronger when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012631633
This paper proposes an empirical method for estimating a long-run trend for the unemployment rate that is grounded in … the modern theory of unemployment. I write down an unobserved components model and identify the cyclical and trend … components of the underlying unemployment flows, which in turn imply a time varying estimate of the unemployment trend, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500228
This study investigates the effect of parental unemployment on children’s school performance. We use individual level … in Swedish unemployment during the beginning of the 1990s provides an ideal setting for testing the hypothesis that … parental unemployment affects children’s school performance. Our results indicate that having an unemployed father has a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317923
Economists have long emphasized the importance of expectations in determining macroeconomic outcomes Yet there has been almost no recent effort to model actual empirical expectations data; instead macroeconomists usually simply assume expectations are rational This paper shows that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293441
explaining the deviations of household inflation and unemployment expectations from the rational expectations benchmark … demographic groups have sharply different predictions for macroeconomic aggregates like the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293481
This paper constructs a theory of the coexistence of fixed-term and permanent employment contracts in an environment with ex ante identical workers and employers. Workers under fixed-term contracts can be dismissed at no cost while permanent employees enjoy labor protection. In a labor market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292231