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-have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that allows for long-lived effects and inflation … combination of circumstances-i.e. capital inflows, structural reforms and the peculiar recent inflation history-can explain that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293509
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … properties of interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263206
This paper contains a theoretical and empirical study of sacrifice ratios with long-lived effects including possible strong persistence effects or even hysteresis effects The empirical analysis is based on G-7 quarterly output data as well as unemployment data from 1960 to 1999 In this paper I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293484
Las causas de la explosión de desempleo y de la escasa creación de empleos ocurridas en la Argentina hasta 1995 y sus perspectivas futuras son los dos hilos conductores de este documento. Aquí se presenta una interpretación que se profundiza para el caso de la Argentina.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327004
We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model in which monetary policy can deviate from active in.ation stabilization and agents face uncertainty about the nature of these deviations. When observing a deviation, agents conduct Bayesian learning to infer its likely duration. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460672
resisting inflation pressures and that contributions of monetary policy shocks to the GDP fluctuation are asymmetric across …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011776819
Over the last twenty years the level and volatility of inflation decreased across industrial countries. The inflation … test theluck hypothesis we examine the inflation experience of Canada, one of the earliest and most successful adopter of … an inflation targeting monetary policy. We Kalman-filter the historical structural shocks consistent with an estimated …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285320
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
financed by money creation and to destabilizing expectations dynamics that can occasionally divorce inflation from fundamentals …. Our maximum likelihood estimates allow us to interpret observed inflation rates in terms of variations in the deficits … that cut inflation without reforming deficits. Our estimates also allow us to infer the deficit adjustments that seem to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292362
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489