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Economists have long emphasized the importance of expectations in determining macroeconomic outcomes Yet there has been almost no recent effort to model actual empirical expectations data; instead macroeconomists usually simply assume expectations are rational This paper shows that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293441
explaining the deviations of household inflation and unemployment expectations from the rational expectations benchmark …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293481
We investigate the use of various job search strategies and their impact on the probability of subsequent employment and the re-employment wage among working age men in Britain. We find that replying to advertisements and using Job Centres are the two most common methods of job search and that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294537
such as unemployment. Previous studies indicate that monetary policy affects the output gap only at business cycle … frequencies, but the effects on unemployment may well be more persistent in countries with highly regulated labor markets. We … study the Swedish experience of unemployment and monetary policy. Using a structural VAR we find that around 30 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321638
such as unemployment. Previous studies indicate that monetary policy affects the output gap only at business cycle … frequencies, but the effects on unemployment may well be more persistent in countries with highly regulated labor markets. We … study the Swedish experience of unemployment and monetary policy. Using a structural VAR we find that around 30 percent of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317906
unemployment among job-seekers. Using exact matching on labour market history and personal characteristics we find positive effects … effect of the length is found on unemployment, employment or wages. Overall, the results suggest that receiving a fixed term … contract reduces the risk of future unemployment, and that a longer contract increases the position within the workplace but …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317939
The debate in Australia on the (constant-output) elasticity of labour demand with respect to wages has wrongly … area which is particularly relevant for Australia. This paper attempts to fill this void by estimating a multi … causes of the unemployment upturn in 1973-1983 and the subsequent decline in 1993-2006. Our results show that (i) the main …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280778
targeting affect unemployment, economic growth and the output gap. The results show that inflation targeting causes no harm to … employment in developing and emerging countries. On the contrary, it might reduce average unemployment and narrow the output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293308
The paper aims at comparing the formal and informal labour markets in the Central and Eastern European new EU Member States and candidate countries of the European Union. First, the current situation of the labour market is described, focusing on the recent developments since the breaking up of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294504
We study the effect of job displacement on fertility in a sample of white collar women in Austria. Using instrumental variables methods we show that unemploy- ment incidence as such has no negative effect on fertility decisions, but the very fact of being displaced from a career-oriented job...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294869