expected change in earnings, our study investigates how firms manage their earnings forecast strategy once they have decided to … to adopt a multiple earnings forecast (a portfolio) approach in the statutory sanctions period, particularly for the …

(GDP) growth and consumer price index inflation. This paper fills this research gap by providing a replicable forecasting …-run forecast horizons. The model is shown to be capable of predicting turning points and usable for policy analysis under different …

period up to 2026 by drawing on past sectoral trends and the latest macroeconomic forecast results from the International …

variables that we predict are output growth and inflation, two representative variables from our set of indicators that are … macroeconomic indicators (not including spreads) perform best when forecasting inflation in non-volatile time periods, while …

not statistically significant. Finally, estimated models are pooled to forecast inflation. Some of the forecast …Inflation forecasting plays a central role in monetary policy formulation. At the same time, recent international … empirical evidence suggests that with the decline in inflation of recent years, the joint dynamics of this variable and its …

Real-time estimates of output gaps and inflation trends differ from the values that are obtained using data available … observations and of already-released observations capable of improving real-time output gap and inflation trend estimates. Our … findings indicate that annual revisions to output and inflation data are in part predictable based on their past vintages. …

Time series regressions indicate that age structure has significant forecasting power on Swedish inflation. The results … the age model outperforms the estimated benchmarks; i.e. two autoregressive models, an ARIMA and the 2 per cent forecast … corresponding to the stipulated inflation target. The age model is also considerably better than the consensus forecasts and it is …

Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … wide range of forecast horizons and allow for estimated as well as theoretically specified cointegrating relationships in …