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Identifying business cycle stylised facts is essential as these often form the basis for the construction and validation of theoretical business cycle models. Furthermore, understanding the cyclical patterns in economic activity, and their causes, is important to the decisions of both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280739
, sequencing and form of firm expansions. When we analyze 21 years of job creation in Austria, we find that the survival of new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294519
mechanisms, markup cyclicality or simply because they are forward-looking. Empirical results for Austria show that retail rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294615
Using the dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model due to Engle (2002), we estimate time varying correlations of quarterly real GDP growth among the G7 countries. In general, we find that rathe heterogeneous patterns of international synchronization exist during U.S. recessions. During the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294906
This paper uses a simple VAR analysis to examine 5 CEE countries (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Romania and Slovakia) in order to understand whether their business cycles are synchronized with each other and/or with the major economies that they are supposed to be linked with, namely the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273651
Emerging Markets Resilience and Growth amid Global Turmoil provides an excellent contribution to the literature. The book covers a variety of important topics on emerging market economies and offers invaluable information for a wide range of audience; from academics to policy makers as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500174
In this paper we evaluate the transmission of the US subprime crisis to emerging markets. Our interest in this topic is partly related to the widespread view that prior to the current crisis many emerging market countries had undertaken reforms that were designed to, and would in fact, insulate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287760
The seven largest emerging market economies -China, India, Brazil, Russia, Mexico, Indonesia, and Turkey- constituted more than one-quarter of global output and more than half of global output growth during 2010-15.These emerging markets, which we call EM7,are also closely integrated with other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060228
Both global and regional economic linkages have strengthened substantially over the past quarter century. We employ a dynamic factor model to analyze the implications of these linkages for the evolution of global and regional business cycles. Our model allows us to assess the roles played by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500234
Classical business cycles, following Burns and Mitchell (1946), can be defined as the sequential pattern of expansions and contractions in aggregate economic activity. Recently, Harding and Pagan (2002, 2006) have provided an econometric toolkit for the analysis of these cycles, and this has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280785