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Developing country business cycles: Revisiting the stylised facts
Male, Rachel - 2010
Identifying business cycle stylised facts is essential as these often form the basis for the construction and validation of theoretical business cycle models. Furthermore, understanding the cyclical patterns in economic activity, and their causes, is important to the decisions of both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280739
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Takeoffs
Aizenman, Joshua; Spiegel, Mark - 2007
This paper identifies factors associated with takeoff - a sustained period of high growth following a period of stagnation. We examine a panel of 241 stagnation episodes" from 146 countries, 54 % of these episodes are followed by takeoffs. Countries that experience takeoffs average 2.3% annual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285304
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The impact of inflation targeting on unemployment in developing and emerging economies
Divino, Jose Angelo - 2009
Several countries around the world have adopted the inflation targeting regime for monetary policy. Despite the growing literature on the issue, it is not clear whether developing and emerging countries can improve their economic performance by adopting inflation targeting. This working paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293308
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Volatility, Information and Stock Market Crashes
Antonakakis, Nikolaos; Scharler, Johann - 2009
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294846
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Return and volatility spillovers among the East Asian equity markets
Yilmaz, Kamil - 2009
autoregression, we derive return and volatility spillover indices over the rolling sub-sample windows. We show that there is … substantial difference between the behavior of the East Asian return and volatility spillover indices over time. While the return … spillover index reveals increased integration among the East Asian equity markets, the volatility spillover index experiences …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277265
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Real exchange rate and international reserves in an era of growing financial and trade integration
Aizenman, Joshua; Riera-Crichton, Daniel - 2006
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285305
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Measuring the stability of a dynamic system: The case of the stock market turmoil 2007-2008
Bask, Mikael; Widerberg, Anna - 2010
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the two-year period 2007-2008 can be analyzed with the help of-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov exponents for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321428
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Real exchange rate and international reserves in the era of growing financial and trade integration
Aizenman, Joshua; Riera-Crichton, Daniel - 2006
This paper evaluates the impact of international reserves, terms of trade shocks and capital flows on the real exchange rate (REER). We observe that international reserves cushions the impact of TOT shocks on the REER, and that this effect is important for developing but not for industrial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322720
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The Role of Permanent and Transitory Components in Business Cycle Volatility Moderation
Korenok, Oleg; Radchenko, Stanislav - 2004
The paper examines the processes underlying economic fluctuations by investigating the volatility moderation of U ….S. economy in the early 1980's. We decompose the volatility decline using a dynamic factor framework into a common stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263232
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Productivity, energy prices, and the great moderation: A new link
Dhawan, Rajeev; Jeske, Karsten; Silos, Pedro - 2008
volatility of output and its components. Specifically, the change in the joint stochastic process accounts for close to 70 … percent of the moderation in output volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292361