Showing 1 - 10 of 227
Often, the moment of a treatment and the moment at which the outcome of interest occurs are realizations of stochastic processes with dependent unobserved determinants. Notably, both treatment and outcome are characterized by the moment they occur. We compare different methods of inference of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321076
We use survival analysis to analyse the impact of export credit guarantees on firms' export duration using granular Swedish panel data at the firm-country and firm-country-product levels. The estimation results show that firms' export survival substantially increases with guarantees, at both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013426308
I expose the risk of false discoveries in the context of multiple treatment effects. A false discovery is a nonexistent effect that is falsely labeled as statistically significant by its individual t-value. Labeling nonexistent effects as statistically significant has wide-ranging academic and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316851
This paper examines the empirical analysis of treatment effects on duration outcomes from data that contain instrumental variation. We focus on social experiments in which an intention to treat is randomized and compliance may be imperfect. We distinguish between cases where the treatment starts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317966
We reanalyze the effects of a Danish active labour market program social experiment, that included a range of sub-treatments, including monitoring, job search assistance and training. Previous studies have shown that the overall effect of the experiment is positive. We apply newly developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273909
This paper considers the definition and identification of treatment effects on conditional transition probabilities. We show that even under sequential random assignment only the instantaneous average treatment effect is point identified. Because treated and control units drop out at different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273912
We test if social work norms are important for work absence due to self-perceived sick-ness. To this end, we use a randomized social experiment designed to estimate the effect of monitoring on work absence. The treated were exposed to less monitoring of their eligibility to use sickness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273936
The vocational employment training program is the most expensive training program in Sweden and a cornerstone of labor market policy. We analyze its causal effects on the individual transition rate from unemployment to employment by exploiting variation in the timing of treatment and outcome,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273981
Often, a treatment and the outcome of interest are characterized by the moment they occur, and these moments are realizations of stochastic processes with dependent unobserved determinants. We develop a simple and intuitive method for inference on the treatment effect. The method can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327268
Change point models using hierarchical priors share in the information of each regime when estimating the parameter values of a regime. Because of this sharing, hierarchical priors have been very successful when estimating the parameter values of short-lived regimes and predicting the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030268