Showing 1 - 10 of 408
Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) have experienced an extraordinary decline in inflation since the early … 1970s. After peaking in 1974 at 17.3 percent, inflation in these economies declined to 3.5 percent in 2017. Despite a … checkered history of managing inflation among many EMDEs, disinflation occurred across all regions. This paper presents a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060219
This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures … (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator … available sources, our database constitutes a comprehensive, single source for inflation series. We illustrate the potential use …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628459
Correlations of inflation with the growth rate of money increase when data are averaged over longer time periods …. Correlations of inflation with the growth of money also are higher when high-inflation as well as low-inflation countries are … included in the analysis. We show that serial correlation in the underlying inflation rate ties these two observations together …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292328
This paper examines the long-run effects of supply shocks (such as oil shocks) on inflation in the United States. The … persistence of supply shocks in U.S. inflation fell considerably during the period of Volcker's disinflation (1979-1982). My … the behavior of inflation expectations-agents expected shocks to persist in the pre-Volcker period, but not in the post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293489
prices that do not cancel out, adding persistence to the process. When inflation is low, no long-run interaction between …Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
We use an agent-based computational approach to show how inflation can worsen macroeconomic performance by disrupting … the mechanism of exchange in a decentralized market economy. We find that increasing the trend rate of inflation above 3 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010284044
This paper shows that in ation in industrialized countries is largely a global phenomenon. First, the inflation rates … variance share that is associated with Global Inflation is not only due to the trend components of inflation (up from 1960 to … comovement of inflation comes largely from common shocks. Global Inflation is a function of real developments at short horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292130
Economists have long emphasized the importance of expectations in determining macroeconomic outcomes Yet there has been almost no recent effort to model actual empirical expectations data; instead macroeconomists usually simply assume expectations are rational This paper shows that while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293441
-have been carried out at no cost to output. After suggesting a new methodology that allows for long-lived effects and inflation … inertia when measuring costs of disinflations, large sacrifice ratios are obtained for the 1970s and 80s. Nevertheless, a new … puzzle arises: disinflation costs in the 90s are negative, even with the new methodology. It is shown that an unusual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293509
In this paper we evaluate the relative influence of external versus domestic inflation drivers in the 12 new European … well supported in the new EU member states. We also find that the inflation process is dominated by domestic variables in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294894