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We examine the distribution of returns in new industries to determine whether stocks in new industries are similar to … evidence of low expected returns. On the contrary, firms in new industries typically have high volatility of individual stocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397612
-market price formation. Further, their findings imply that diversification benefits increase for portfolios of stocks and bonds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397659
The study revealed the strong impact of policy measures on production, procurement, stocks and trade. We detected … stocks are found to strongly crowd out private stocks but not to the same extent as public stocks are build up. Total exports …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807701
The Chicago Fed dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model is used for policy analysis and forecasting at the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292149
This paper proposes a Bayesian nonparametric modeling approach for the return distribution in multivariate GARCH models. In contrast to the parametric literature, the return distribution can display general forms of asymmetry and thick tails. An infinite mixture of multivariate normals is given...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292242
This paper presents a simple methodology for decomposing changes in the aggregate labor force participation rate (LFPR) over time into demographic group changes in labor force participation behavior and in population share. The purpose is to identify the relative importance of behavioral changes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292316
forecasting techniques, e.g. correlation forecasts based on historical values and on a dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) model … varied. We find that the applied volatility forecasting models have a strong influence on the expected net present value … distribution and on the probability of default. In contrast, correlation forecasting models play a minor role. Time resolution and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305715
This paper uses a panel VAR (PVAR) approach to estimating, analysing and forecasting price dynamics in four different …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310799
forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334248
In recent years, an impressive body or research on predictive accuracy testing and model comparison has been published in the econometrics discipline. Key contributions to this literature include the paper by Diebold and Mariano (DM: 1995) that sets the groundwork for much of the subsequent work...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334261