Showing 1 - 10 of 249
This paper applies new computational methods for studying nonstationary dynamics to reevaluate the welfare cost of … equilibria, I measure the welfare cost of inflation by explicitly modeling the transitional dynamics that arise following a … change in monetary policy. Transitional dynamics are shown to increase the welfare cost of inflation substantially. Also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397549
such hiring procedures this will have strong implications for the aggregate economy and welfare. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321087
level of frictional unemployment as a statistical feature of a decentralized labor market. Shocks to the economy can produce … short-run equilibrium involuntary unemployment arising from unfulfilled expectations. Even after agents align their … negative shock to demand can result in higher levels of equilibrium unemployment. In this way the model exhibits a particular …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013269254
The high U.S. unemployment rate after the Great Recession is usually considered to be a result of changes in factors … in the unemployment rate, these factors should have influenced workers' and firms' decisions. Therefore, it is important … factors affect the unemployment rate. To address this issue, we estimate a Mortensen-Pissarides style of labor-market matching …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397699
We show that the inability of a standardly-calibrated labor search-and-matching model to account for labor market volatility extends beyond the U.S. to a set of OECD countries. That is, the volatility puzzle is ubiquitous. We argue cross-country data is helpful in scrutinizing between potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500264
-inflation, unemployment, and the nominal interest rate-and two lags. This tool is a serious competitor to the identified …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397377
The authors consider inflation and government debt dynamics when monetary policy employs a global interest rate rule and private agents forecast using adaptive learning. Because of the zero lower bound on interest rates, active interest rate rules are known to imply the existence of a second,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397381
The authors study the hypothesis that misperceptions of trend productivity growth during the onset of the productivity slowdown in the United States caused much of the great inflation of the 1970s. They use the general equilibrium, sticky price framework of Woodford (2002), augmented with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397383
This paper estimates a dynamic stochastic equilibrium model in which agents use a Bayesian rule to learn about the state of monetary policy. Monetary policy follows a nominal interest rate rule that is subject to regime shifts. The following results are obtained. First, the author's policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397384
Central banks pay close attention to inflation expectations. In standard models, however, inflation expectations are tied down by the assumption of rational expectations and should be of little independent interest to policy makers. In this paper, the authors relax the assumption of rational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397398