Showing 1 - 10 of 242
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth," describing the … able to work themselves out fully. In this context, monetary shocks have a gradual and delayed effect on inflation and … permanent nominal rigidities, and no departure from rational expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281025
Since 2000 U.S. inflation has remained both below target and silent to domestic slack and monetary interventions. A … inflation. The trend analysis shows that, starting from the '90s, despite very well-anchored expectations, slow-moving imported … "cost-push" factors induced deflationary pressure keeping trend inflation below target. The cycle block provides evidence in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373827
This paper takes a new look at the long-run dynamics of inflation and unemployment in response to permanent changes in …, we construct an empirical model of the Spanish economy and, in this context, we evaluate the long-run inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281024
explaining the deviations of household inflation and unemployment expectations from the rational expectations benchmark … demographic groups have sharply different predictions for macroeconomic aggregates like the inflation rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293481
We analyze the transmission of producer price in inflation shocks across the U.S. manufacturing industries from 1947 to …-causes the producer price inflation connectedness across industries. The input-output network and the inflation connectedness …-wide inflation connectedness in the first half of 2018, due to shocks mostly transmitted from tariff-targeted industries, namely …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060215
An apparent disconnect has taken place between inflation and economic activity in the US over the last 25 years, with … price inflation remaining remarkably stable in spite of large fluctuations in the output gap and other measures of economic … unconditional variation in US macro data into the components driven by demand and supply disturbances, and confront the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014551721
level and the dynamics of inflation. I compare the model's predictions with those of a perfectly competitive, flexible price … rigidity delivers an extremely close approximation both of the price/unit labor cost ratio and of the inflation series, even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334295
Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263217
cyclical movements in Treasury bond premia. Downward nominal rigidities create state-dependence in output and inflation … dynamics: a higher level of inflation makes prices more flexible, leading output and inflation to be more volatile, and bonds … to become more risky. The model matches well the relation between the level of inflation and a number of salient macro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014581904
We analyze the determinants of the inflation trends in ten Southeast European (SEE) countries. Global cost …-related factors and euro area (EA) inflation developments play an important role in explaining inflation dynamics in SEE countries … exchange to euro area market appear to be susceptible to inflation spillovers from the euro area. Moreover, nominal effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705285