Showing 1 - 10 of 633
This paper presents a comprehensive examination of the determination and evolution of inflation expectations, with a … focus on emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs). The results suggest that long-term inflation expectations in …. Indeed, in EMDEs, long-term inflation expectations are more sensitive to both domestic and global inflation shocks. However …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060221
Developing country inflation is in the headlines again. Mainstream macroeconomics typically ignores the role of … monetary sources of inflation in the presence of real wage resistance and distributional conflict. The analysis shows that the … relatively small shock leads to sustained and accelerating inflation and a wage-price spiral, thanks to conflicting claims on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480539
to support the standard objection to such policies: that they will lead to uncontrollable inflation. Theoretical models … support for a relationship between monetary financing and inflation. The findings lend support to recent calls for explicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011545308
linking interest rates to forecasts of future inflation. Such rules have been found to give rise to aggregate fluctuations due … properties of interest-rate rules whereby the central bank responds to a measure of past inflation. The consensus view that has … inflation are likely to ensure global stability provided that the coefficient on lagged interest rates is greater than unity. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263206
It is commonly asserted that inflation is a jump variable in the New Keynesian Phillips curve, and thus wage …-price inertia does not imply inflation inertia. We show that this "inflation flexibility proposition" is highly misleading, relying … affect inflation, but are also influenced by it) the phenomenon of inflation inertia re-emerges. Under plausible parameter …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281028
" - although they generate price inertia, they cannot account for the stylised fact of inflation persistence. It is thus commonly … asserted that, in the context of the new Phillips curve (NPC), inflation is a jump variable. We argue that this "persistency … equilibrium setting (in which real variables not only affect inflation, but are also influenced by it), standard wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281029
adamant about preventing a rise in inflation? The large fiscal imbalance brings about inflationary pressures, triggering a … spiral of higher inflation, output contraction, and further debt accumulation. A coordinated commitment to inflate away the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030336
We model capital flows among Chinese provinces using a theory-based variance decomposition that allows us to gauge the importance of various channels of external adjustments at the regional level: variation in intertemporal prices-domestic and international interest rates and the real exchange...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011282500
Over 2010-2016, municipal debt in Germany crowded out private investment worth 1 percent of GDP. Forced to lend to municipalities by their statutes, local public banks compensated for declining municipal-debt yields by charging higher rates to firms in Germany's locally segmented credit markets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468196
Approaching the issue of mounting global imbalances from the perspective of the "Bretton Woods II hypothesis," this paper argues that the popular preoccupation with China's supposed export-led development strategy is misplaced. It also suggests, similar to Japan's depression, subdued growth in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266439