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Recently, national newspapers all over the world have suggested that we should reread John Maynard Keynes, and that Hyman P. Minsky provides a valuable framework for understanding the world in which we live. While rereading Keynes and discovering Minsky are noble goals, one should also remember...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266570
This paper analyses the phenomenon of jobless growth in India and the US through the lens of employment elasticity …. Analytical results are derived for decompositions of both the level and change of aggregate employment elasticity in terms of … sectoral elasticities, relative growth and employment shares. Estimates of these decompositions are presented with employment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011526703
This paper combines matching frictions with e¢ ciency wages to deter shirking in a model that is estimated for the USA and the UK to derive the underlying structural parameters. Methods robust to weak instruments are used to show that, for both countries, both matching frictions and efficiency...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318955
unemployment that is in line with this empirical regularity and the findings for the other emerging markets and regional peers. We … European debt crisis. When investigating whether various expenditure components of GDP may cause different unemployment … improve forecasting of unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012109775
program that supplies voluntary employment opportunities on demand for all who are ready and willing to work at a living wage …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012142949
This paper offers a reappraisal of the inflation-unemployment tradeoff, based on "frictional growth," describing the … these shocks also generate plausible impulse-responses for unemployment. Although our theory contains no money illusion, no … permanent nominal rigidities, and no departure from rational expectations, there is a long-run inflation-unemployment tradeoff. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281025
Empirical support for the long-run Fisher effect, a hypothesis that a permanent change in inflation leads to an equal change in the nominal interest rate, has been hard to come by. This paper provides a plausible explanation of why past studies have been unable to find support for the long-run...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292360
I document price adjustments in both high and low inflation years from 14 milllion monthly price observations of 1,133 goods and services. The variation in the frequency of price changes explains all the variation in the inflation rate. On average, prices increase more often when inflation is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012143716
This paper extends the procedure developed by Jurado et al. (2015) to allow the estimation of measures of uncertainty that can be attributed to specific structural shocks. This enables researchers to investigate the "origin" of a change in overall macroeconomic uncertainty. To demonstrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144208
In this paper we extend the Bayesian Proxy VAR to incorporate time variation in the parameters. A Gibbs sampling algorithm is provided to approximate the posterior distributions of the model's parameters. Using the proposed algorithm, we estimate the time-varying effects of taxation shocks in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012144217