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Emerging market and developing economies (EMDEs) have experienced an extraordinary decline in inflation since the early 1970s. After peaking in 1974 at 17.3 percent, inflation in these economies declined to 3.5 percent in 2017. Despite a checkered history of managing inflation among many EMDEs,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060219
This paper tries to clarify the logical structure of the relationship between labour values and prices from an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011927980
Romer and Romer (2004) propose a simple method to estimate monetary policy shocks using forecasts and real-time data. However, such data is not always (publicly) available, especially in a historical context. We explore the consequences of using revised data instead of the original forecast and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208910
This paper introduces a global database that contains inflation series: (i) for a wide range of inflation measures (headline, food, energy, and core consumer price inflation; producer price inflation; and gross domestic product deflator changes); (ii) at multiple frequencies (monthly, quarterly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012628459
secondary sources to assemble two new databases on wages and commodity prices to establish a new regional consumer price index …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012662676
There have been more than 500,000 opioid overdose deaths since 2000. To analyze the opioid epidemic, we construct a model where individuals, with and without pain, choose whether to misuse opioids knowing the probabilities of addiction and dying. These odds are functions of opioid use. Markov...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014278374
. Businesses indicated that their prices were strongly influenced by demand, a desire to maintain steady profit margins, and wages … and labor costs. Survey respondents expected reduced growth in costs and prices of about 5 percent on average over the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014388419
This paper investigates the relationship between money growth, inflation, and productive activity in a general equilibrium model of search. The use of a multiple-matching technique, where trade frictions are captured by limited consumption variety, allows us to study price determination in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397425
Cubic splines have long been used to extract the discount, yield, and forward rate curves from coupon bond data. McCulloch used regression splines to estimate the discount function, and, more recently, Fisher, Nychka, and Zervos used smoothed splines, with the roughness penalty selected by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397460
which current volatility is easily estimated from historical asset prices observed at discrete intervals. Empirical analysis … Black-Scholes model is updated every period and uses implied volatilities from option prices, while the parameters of the … GARCH model are held constant and volatility is filtered from the history of asset prices. The improvement is due largely to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397476