breakdown of trust, plunging a society into a vicious cycle of recurrent conflicts (a war trap). The incidence of conflict can …We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is … beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since confict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals …

rate of mutual cooperation rises to 90% or more. Control sessions with 8-time repeated matchings achieve less than half as … much cooperation, and cooperation rates approach zero in one-shot control sessions. In follow-up sessions with a variable … number of subperiods, cooperation rates increase nearly linearly as the grid size decreases and, with one-second subperiods …

higher the levels of cooperation. We compare the behavior from these in finitely repeated games with behavior from finitely … repeated games of the same expected length and we find that there is more cooperation in the in finitely repeated games …

This paper expands the micro-foundations of the traditional greed and grievance non-cooperative model of civil conflict … better understanding of conflict persistence, the consequences of competing international aid and why sub-optimal sanctions …