Showing 1 - 10 of 1,002
Using frequency domain techniques to separate short and long run dynamics and decomposing inflation into its common and … idiosyncratic components, we study the regime dependence of the inflation-RPV relation in Argentina and the USA. Under High … inflation, strong long-run comovement between RPV and Inflation is found for both economies, that extends to the short run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325092
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates … economic outlook rather than with the response to an exogenous shock; (iv) the few notable instances of the latter response are … always in reaction to Fed announcements; and, (v) our impulse responses demonstrate that odds of extreme inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
inflation as one component of future real wages. This paper scrutinizes whether countries in CEE that officially announce an … inflation target are tempted to act time-inconsistently and switch from the announced inflation target to an exchange rate … target in order to sustain higher output via surprise inflation. If market participants discover the time-inconsistency, they …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308235
find that a contractionary US monetary policy shock leads to a persistent fall in international output, a drop in global … inflation rates, a rise in international interest rates and a strengthening of the US dollar in real terms. There is … negative shock to foreign real GDP growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370122
Staggered prices are a fundamental building block of New Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models. In the standard model, prices are uniformly staggered but recent empirical evidence suggest that deviations from uniform staggering are common, This paper analyzes how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321439
preferred model, almost 30 percent of the maximum effect of a shock still remains after ten years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321638
We analyze several identification frameworks based on operating procedures to measure monetary policy in a small open economy. We use a two-stage non-recursive VAR model to identify monetary shocks. We construct then various overall monetary policy indicators based on different residuals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430022
preferred model, almost 30 percent of the maximum effect of a shock still remains after ten years. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010317906
adamant about preventing a rise in inflation? The large fiscal imbalance brings about inflationary pressures, triggering a … spiral of higher inflation, output contraction, and further debt accumulation. A coordinated commitment to inflate away the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030336
-causes inflation in the euro area. Based on data from 1970 to 2006 and forecasting horizons of up to 12 quarters, there is surprisingly … power of money growth for inflation is substantially lower in more recent sample periods compared to the 1970s and 1980s …. This cautions against using money-based inflation models anchored in very long samples for policy advice. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321554