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-wanted ads and an unemployment subsidy, is highly contractionary. However, it leads to large welfare gains. The policy also plays …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292153
We show that the inability of a standardly-calibrated labor search-and-matching model to account for labor market volatility extends beyond the U.S. to a set of OECD countries. That is, the volatility puzzle is ubiquitous. We argue cross-country data is helpful in scrutinizing between potential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500264
unemployment has a weak positive effect on the probability of filling a vacancy, while the number of vacancies in the local labor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321379
-the-job search is a key component in explaining labor market dynamics in models of equilibrium unemployment. The model predicts … fluctuations of unemployment, vacancies, and labor productivity whose relative magnitudes replicate the data. A standard search and … firms?incentives to post new jobs. Labor market tightness as measured by the vacancy-unemployment ratio is as volatile as in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293492
a severe macroeconomic recession with mass unemployment. By the early 1990s, workers on fixed-term contracts accounted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321788
This paper measures the job-search responses to the COVID-19 pandemic using realtime data on vacancy postings and job ad views on Sweden's largest online job board. First, new vacancy postings drop by 40%, similar to the US. Second, job seekers respond by searching less intensively, to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660617
The first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and the measures enforced to combat it have led to a decline in economic activity unprecedented since the Great Depression. Worldwide, millions, and yet millions, of people have lost their jobs-either temporarily or permanently. At first, the COVID- 19...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660629
unemployment-spell. Consequently, our calculations suggest that the steady-state unemployment rate fell by as much as one-fifth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012661555
This paper proposes an empirical method for estimating a long-run trend for the unemployment rate that is grounded in … the modern theory of unemployment. I write down an unobserved components model and identify the cyclical and trend … components of the underlying unemployment flows, which in turn imply a time varying estimate of the unemployment trend, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500228
volatility of vacancies and unemployment. This channel can be relevant if the lack of insurance is large enough so that the … earnings variance and persistence in the unemployment state that result in a large degree of self-insurance. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292356