Showing 1 - 10 of 13
Credit spreads are large, volatile and countercyclical, and recent empirical work suggests that risk premia, not expected credit losses, are responsible for these features. Building on the idea that corporate debt, while safe in ordinary recessions, is exposed to economic depressions, this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292117
,b,c) to examine the importance of jumps, and in particular large and small jumps, using high frequency price returns on 25 … stocks in the DOW 30 and S&P futures index. In particular, we examine jumps from both the perspective of their contribution … of jumps in around 22.8% of the days during the 1993-2000 period, and in 9.4% of the days during the 2001-2008 period …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282828
This paper develops tests for comparing the accuracy of predictive densities derived from (possibly misspecified) diffusion models. In particular, we first outline a simple simulation-based framework for constructing predictive densities for one-factor and stochastic volatility models. Then, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282854
variables. We then provide empirical evidence on small and large jumps from the perspective of their contribution to overall … and Diebold (2007) and Aït-Sahalia and Jacod (2009a,b,c). Evidence of jumps is found in around 22.8% of the days during … role of jumps is lessening, the role of large jumps has not decreased, and indeed, the relative role of large jumps, as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282858
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose nonparametric estimators of the aforementioned quantities,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282862
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose nonparametric kernel estimators of the aforementioned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282869
asset management are predicated on the importance of jumps, or discontinuous movements in asset returns. In light of this, a … number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010334248
opportunities and product innovations. The search for future discontinuities and trends using external knowledge sources enables … search to detect future discontinuities and trends in the environment. To address this knowledge gap, dimensions of search … benefit from different external search strategies to identify discontinuities and trends in the environment. The paper closes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011499706
data set matching high-quality administrative records with survey data, this study explores trends in these differentials …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278201
We examine the composition of bilateral trade between the United States and eight Asian Pacific economies from 1962 to 1992. Two complementary time series analyses of individual commodities at the SITC four-digit level indicate that significant changes occurred in trade composition during this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285347