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Global inflation has risen sharply from its lows in mid-2020, on rebounding global demand, supply bottlenecks, and soaring food and energy prices, especially since the Russian Federation's invasion of Ukraine. Markets expect inflation to peak in mid-2022 and then decline, but to remain elevated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013373857
This paper studies the impact of carbon pricing on firms' inflation expectations and discusses the potential implications for what constitutes the core of most central banks' mandate: price stability. Carbon policy shocks are identified from high-frequency changes in carbon futures price around...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014333769
So far, the literature on dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models with energy price shocks uses energy on the production side only. In these models, energy shocks are responsible for only a negligible share of output fluctuations. We study the robustness of this finding by explicitly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292215
Should a central bank accommodate energy price shocks? Should the central bank use core inflation or headline inflation with the volatile energy component in its Taylor rule? To answer these questions, we build a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with energy use, durable goods, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292245
During the past thirty-five years, energy use as a fraction of output has dropped significantly at both the household and the firm levels. Therefore, we investigate a dynamic stochastic generalized equilibrium model economy's response to an energy price hike for different firm and household...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292312
We study how total factor productivity (TFP), energy prices, and the Great Moderation are linked. First we estimate a joint stochastic process for the energy price and TFP and establish that until the second quarter of 1982, energy prices negatively affected productivity. This spillover has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292361
The paper examines the effects of an environmental tax reform in a model of a small open economy with decentralised wage bargaining and monopolistically competitive firms. The economy includes a tradable sector as well as a non-tradable sector and features unemployment in general equilibrium....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321714
The paper develops an explicit formula for the calculation of optimal carbon taxes in a dynamic integrated assessment framework. We attempt to generalize the Gosolov et al. (2014) theory by relaxing the restrictions with logarithmic preferences, Cobb-Douglas production and the full periodwise...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012013508
We investigate how oil supply shocks are transmitted to U.S. economic activity, consumer prices, and interest rates. Using a structural VAR approach with a combination of sign and zero restrictions, we distinguish between supply and demand channels in the transmission of exogenous changes in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012140936
The climate targets defined under the Paris agreement of limiting global temperature increase below 1.5 or 2°C require massive deployment of low-carbon options in the energy mix, which is currently dominated by fossil fuels. Scenarios suggest that Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) might play a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011816757