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This paper is focused on the options for reducing the U.S. fiscal deficit in the aftermath of the financial crisis. The first part of the paper is devoted to an assessment of the economic outlook and the impact of the financial crisis on the medium-term fiscal balance of the federal government....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286962
This paper surveys the recent literature on fiscal sustainability, with particular emphasis on emerging market countries. It discusses the main elements that differentiate emerging market countries from industrial countries and then discusses how probabilistic models can help to evaluate fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010327194
This paper surveys the recent literature on the political economy of fiscal policy, in particular the accumulation of government debt. We examine three possible determinants of fiscal balances: opportunistic behavior by policymakers, heterogeneous fiscal preferences of either voters or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278241
This paper presents a comprehensive cross-country database of fiscal space, broadly defined as the availability of budgetary resources for a government to service its financial obligations. The database covers up to 200 countries over the period 1990-2016, and includes 28 indicators of fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060231
This paper deploys a simple stock-flow consistent (SFC) model in order to examine various contentions regarding fiscal and monetary policy. It follows from the model that if the fiscal stance is not set in the appropriate fashionthat is, at a well-defined level and growth ratethen full...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266538
We shed light on the function, properties and optimal size of austerity using the standard sovereign debt model augmented to include incomplete information about credit risk. Austerity is defined as the shortfall of consumption from the level desired by a country and supported by its repayment...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011430112
The debt crisis in Latin America is associated with the large fiscal imbalances of the 1980s; therefore public finance sustainability occupies the center of stabilization efforts in these economies. The literature examining this question in emerging economies is surprisingly scant and this paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289035
This paper develops empirical methods of assessing the sustainability and feasibility of public debt using the No Ponzi Game criterion, using the Philippines as the testing case. Both historical data and forecasts generated by a quarterly macro-econometric model are used in the assessment....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010289038
of the accumulation of Greece's public debt since the 1960s and the role of public debt in the recent crisis. We show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011784657
This paper analyzes the trajectories of the Greek public deficit and sovereign debt over the last three decades and their connection to the political and economic environment, paying special attention to the causality between the public and the foreign deficit. The authors argue that, from 1980...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318673